???? 72: ??COVID-19???????????: 2019?????????? | Economic Analysis and Policy Division

Date: 14 May 2020

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???? 72: ??COVID-19???????????: 2019??????????

Sustainable Development Goals: SDG #8: Decent work and economic growth

中文

????????????,COVID-19???????????????????????????????,????????????????,???????????????????????????COVID-19??????,???????????(SDGs)??????????????????????

??,??????????????,???76?????????(IDA)?????????????????????,?????????????(LDC)?13?????????(SIDS)?????????(IMF)?????????25????

?????????????????????????????????????????????,???????????????????????????????,??????????????????????????,??????????

?????????????????????????,???????????????,????????????????(?????????????????)?????????????????????????????,??????????

???,????????????????COVID-19:????????????????,???????:(?)???????????????????????(??,?????),?????????????????????????????????;(?)????????????,??????,???????????????;?(?)?????,???????????????????????,?????????????????????????????,??????????????????

????????????????????????????????????????,??????????????????????,????????????????????

COVID-19?????????????

COVID-19???????????????????????????,????????????,??????????,??????????????????????,??????,????????????????????????????????????????????????????83%???96%,???13?????(IMF Fiscal Monitor, 2020)??????????,???????????????,?????????????????????????-9.1%?-5.7%?

???????????????????????,?????????????1?21???,???????????????????1000????(IIF, 2020)??????????,??????????????????:?????????????????4????????,???600bps?????100????/?????????????????????(RFI)???????

???????????????

???,??????????,?????????????????2020?????????????????,2009???????,?????????????????,?????????????????????????,????????????????????????????????(LDC),????????(SIDS)?????????)???????(MIC)(??1)?(???, 2020)?2012??2019?,???????????GDP??????????15????(?GDP?35%???51%)?

?????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????,?????????????,??????????????????????????????(IDA)?????????????(???????????????????????)?????????,??2010??2019?,?????5%???????17.5%(??2)????????????(???????????????????)?,??????????????????38%????????,??32%????

??????????????????????????(IDA)???????????2000??2019???????,??????6%???13%(??3)?20?????????????????????????????????,?????????????????????,?????????????????????25%?????,?????????????????50????????????????,??????????,??????????,???????????

??????????????,?????????????????????2019??,????????????????(IDA)??????????????36????????????????????????????????,????????????????????
???????????????????????????????????,???????????(?????????)??????????,?2010??GDP?37%???2019??54%(??2)????????????????????????????(??3)??????????????????,????????????????,???????????????????????????

???????????????????????????,??????????????15??????????????????????????,?????????????????????????????????????????????

??,?????????????????????????????????????????37???????????????,??????????????????????????GDP?14%(??4),??63%???????,38%????????????20???????????????????????????????????????,???????40%?????????????,?????????????????????,????????????????????????????????????,???????????

عربي

??,????????,????????????????:?2020????????????????????????????????????????????????????????(G20),?????????????,?????2020?????????????(IDA)???????/????????????????,?????????????????:

?????????????????????,?????????????,??????,????????????????????????????????????????????,????????????????????,??????????????????????,????????????????????
???????????????????????????????????????,????????????,??????????????,????????????AAA??????????????,??????????????????????,???????????????????????????
???????????????,????????????????????,??????????????????????????????????????,????????????????????????????????????????????????,??????????????????,???????????????????????????????,???????????????????????????????,?????????????????,??????????(Bolton et al, 2020)?????????,????????????????,??,????????????????????????????????,???????????????????????????????????????????,??,??????????????????????????????,???2010????????,????????(HIPC)??????????????????????

??,????????,?????????????????,?????????????????????,??????????????????????6???25?????????????,??????????????,?????????????????????????????????????,?????COVID-19????????????

??????????????????,??????????????COVID-19/????????????????????????????????,?????????????????????????????????COVID-19/SDG??,?????????
??????????????????????????????,????????????????????,?????????IDA???????????????????????????,???????,??????????????????(Lee, Morris, Gardner and Sami, 2020)?????????????????????????,?????????????????????????
????????????????????????(HIPC)?????????(MDRI)???????????????????,??????????????????,????????????????????????????????????,?????????????????????????????
????????????????,?????????????????????????????????????????(?????????????),????????????????,???????????????????????????????????????????
??????????????????????????????????????,??????????,??????????????????????????????????????????,????????????????????????????????????
????????????????????????????????????????????

??,????????????????????????,?????COVID-19???,???????????????????????????????????????,???????????????????????????????????????????,????????;????;???????????,???????????????????????????:

???????????,????????,???????????????(?????????GDP???????????),????????????;
??????????????????;
?????????,?????????????????,???????,??????(??,????)????????????????;
????????,??????????????????,??????????????????????????????,????:?????????; ?????,?????????; ??????

???????????,??????????????????????????????????????,?????????

عربي

Bolton et al. 2020. Born Out of Necessity: A Debt Standstill for COVID-19. CEPR Policy Insight 103.

IIF. 2020. Capital Flows Report April 2020: Sudden Stop in Emerging Markets.

IMF. 2020. Fiscal Monitor April 2020.

Lee, Nancy, Scott Morris and Alysha Gardner and Asad Sami. 2020. Calling All Official Bilateral Creditors to Poor Countries: Switch to IDA Concessional Terms as Part of COVID-19 Response.

United Nations, 2020, Financing for Sustainable Development Report 2020.

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