Macroeconomic Analysis

Foreign workers provide service to a customer at a booth for currency exchange and money transfers.     Credit : ILO/Apex Image  Date : 2009/07  Country : United Arab Emirates
Remittances—an important income source for millions of households—have become one of the largest forms of external financing for developing countries, with total inflows in 2023–2024 exceeding the combined value of net foreign direct investment inflows and official development assistance.
Female worker at the Wanxiang Qianchao Co. factory. Founded in 1969, it is one of the largest manufacturers of automotive parts in China. Hangzhou. China. Credit: Crozet M. / ILO
Women in developing countries benefit from digital platforms and e-commerce, yet a persistent digital gender gap and high levels of informality continue to exclude many from emerging digital opportunities.
Two female textile workers, wearing protective masks for COVID-19, perform quality control together on the end-product. İzmir, Turkey, 13/07/2020. Photo: Kivanc Ozvardar / ILO
Last month, UN DESA’s Economic Analysis and Policy Division hosted the fourth session of its Development Policy Seminar Series on the World Economic Situation and Prospects.
Woman shops in a grocery store
Consumer inflation expectations are shaped by multiple factors—food and energy inflation remain crucial drivers, with persistent and large surges significantly shaping household expectations of inflation across countries.
Photo of cranes in a shipping port
The global economy is expected to experience subdued growth in the coming months amid a challenging trade environment and heightened macroeconomic uncertainties. The world economy is projected to grow by 2.5 per cent in both 2025 and 2026 — below the 2.8 per cent recorded in 2024 and the pre-pandemic average of 3.2 per cent (2010–2019).
Pile of gold bullion coins and bars by Argor Heraeus https://zlataky.cz
In a reversal of a decades-long trend, central banks in many developing and some developed countries have increased their gold purchases over the past several years. The purpose of this policy is to enhance the diversity and stability of reserves: the share of the United States dollar in the international reserves of many central banks has been declining.
a store filled with lots of shelves filled with items, photo by Nellie Adamyan
UN DESA’s Economic Analysis and Policy Division hosted a three-part Development Policy Seminar series in July to present new thinking on inflation. Discussions focused on issues such as inflation’s underlying drivers, its asymmetric impacts, and the implications for policy. The series will inform the World Economic Situation and Prospects, 2026.
A large cargo ship carrying containers photo by yifu-wu
The U.S. Government’s latest trade policy seeks to address its widening trade deficit, which has recently reached a historic annual high. Persistent trade deficits over the past decades, along with the resulting accumulation of external liabilities to finance them, have long been viewed as a key component of global imbalances.
Decorative image of textile workers in a free zone in Antananarivo, Madagascar. ILO Photo.
Following the unprecedented changes in the trade policy of the United States, LDCs must contend simultaneously with significantly higher bilateral tariffs, policy uncertainty, lower growth prospects in many importing countries, a potential re-alignment of supply chains, and a disruption to the existing multilateral order.