Monthly Briefing on the World Economic Situation and Prospects, No. 20

As stressed in the recent?World Economic Situation and Prospects as of mid-2010, the world economy continues to rebound from its deepest?crisis since World War II. After contracting by 2.0 per cent in 2009, the?world economy is forecast to grow at 3.0 per cent in 2010 and 3.2 per cent?in 2011. However, the recovery continues to be uneven, weak and fragile.?

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It is uneven because not all economies are showing the same strength.?Growth in developed economies is forecast to average 1.9 per cent in 2010?and 2.1 per cent in 2011, up from -3.4 per cent in 2009. The recovery is stronger in the economies in transition, with projected growth of 3.9 per cent in?2010 and 3.4 per cent in 2011. But this group also experienced the sharpest?contraction in 2009 (-6.7 per cent). For developing economies, aggregated?growth is expected to reach 5.9 per cent in 2010 and 5.8 per cent in 2011,?bottoming out at 2.2 per cent in 2009. In addition to diverging patterns?in these regions, there are also marked differences at the country level. For?example, despite positive regional growth averages, 13 countries are expected?to remain in recession during 2010, seven of them in the developed world.

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